Um, Now What?

Um, Now What?

The bailout failed. How do we pick up the pieces? Or do we?

Posted Monday, September 29, 2008 - 3:26pm

Throughout the past three weeks, the chattering class wondered what would happen if we didn’t bail Wall Street out. Today, we got our first glimpse.

As the nays ticked upward on C-SPAN, the Dow plunged downward. At one point, it ducked below a 700-point loss on the day, as traders stood on the floor gawking at monitors with mouths agape. They looked like toddlers watching Baby Einstein, transfixed by images they never imagined possible. For the past three weeks, we were told a bailout would sooth the markets and offer closure to this episode. It was not to be. The bailout bill failed 228-205.

As chaos slashed through Wall Street, the Dow closed down almost 800 points, its biggest single-day drop ever. The Nasdaq saw nearly 10 percent of its value amputated; the S&P closed at its lowest mark since 2004. The Wall Street domino fell with a frightening thud hundreds of miles away from Washington. Even when we thought the bailout had a chance of passing, Wall Street’s future was nebulous. Now, a dark shadow hovers over the nebulosity.

The question, of course, is: Now what? Some insta-thoughts on how Congress, Henry Paulson, and President Bush can salvage this mess. If they want to.

Option 1: Tweak the margins

Don’t forget, the bill was likely to breeze through the Senate, so all congressional negotiators need to worry about is the House. The bailout bill that finally waddled to the floor of the House on Monday was loaded with half-hearted compromises to entice House Republicans. But those gestures were not enough to overpower the nut of the problem: The bailout bill creates a loan out of $700 billion of taxpayer money. For fiscal conservatives sick of seeing their party leader trample over small-government ideals, that figure was either too much to stomach personally or politically. Democrats also failed to march in perfect unison. Ninety-five Dems voted nay.

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What happens now?

So far what we've seen happen is a serious rally in the value of the dollar.

It seems there are some smart people out there who see that the massive bailout would have incurred debt and encouraged the Federal Reserve to print way too many more of the things, and this would have devalued the dollar. So, we get a stronger dollar out of the deal.

Now if we could just get us to abandon those banks who could only think of how to fool poor people into paying on mortgages for a time then foreclose on them, and move our assets to those banks that want to, and are in a position to, loan out our money, this credit 'crunch' would evaporate in a hurry...

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