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The Cram-Down Smackdown
The Senate today defeated legislation that proposed to let bankruptcy judges unilaterally change the terms of home mortgages to keep debtors in their houses. It's a defeat for some people trying to keep a roof over their heads. For banks, though, it's a Pyrrhic victory. Yes, they've defeated the dreaded "cram-down." Now they don't have to worry that judges will take away their right to seize homes when debtors default.
Demonizing Chrysler’s Debtholders
Ever since the negotiations between the government and Chrysler's debtholders began to bog down, ultimately leading to today's bankruptcy announcement, I've been trying to figure out who the holdouts are. Big banks that took TARP funds accepted the government's offer, but a group of smaller players, including a trio of hedge funds specializing in distressed debt refused to play ball.
Chrysler Bankruptcy: Not as Bad as it Sounds
President Obama just announced that Chrysler, the smallest of Detroit's Big Three carmakers, will declare bankruptcy. It's not as bad as it sounds. Chrysler will enter Chapter 11, which means that the company—famously bailed out once before in the 1970s—won't face liquidation and Michigan won't confront an unemployment cataclysm.
Help Rename the Swine Flu!
Under pressure from pork industry lobbyists, the U.S. government has stopped referring to "swine flu" and will instead refer to the outbreak as the "H1N1 virus." While "swine flu" may have been misleading—eating pork is not a risk factor for contracting it—H1N1 is a mouthful. The PR move on pork's part was probably necessary, but it doesn't seem as though the new name is going to stick. Some suggestions floating around the Web for alternative names:
Can GM Survive on Its Own Math?
I have my own version of "What's the real unemployment rate in the current economy?" and it's called "What's the actual size of the new-car market in the United States?" The Big Money's Chadwick Matlin and I were discussing this yesterday, based on a post by Gregg Easterbrook about the "car bubble." At the moment, no one is sure of how large it should, or will, be over the next few years.
The Scammers Won't Stop Calling
A couple months ago, I investigated some of those get-your-own-stimulus ads that were popping up all over the Internet. Eventually, I tracked down one of the companies to 305 West Broadway in New York, only to find their address was actually a P.O. Box, likely an American front for a scammy outfit out of the Philippines. Last week, I got an e-mail from TBM reader Jimmie Ott, who was being pestered by these scammers despite not actually giving them any money.
An Autoworker Reality Show?
This grim, darkly funny video from The Onion mocks auto executives and reality-ravenous TV viewers in one fell swoop. Could recession-based television programming be the next big thing? Let's hope not.
Chrysler Is Saved! But, Um, Still Bankrupt.
According to the Washington Post, Chrysler has overcome the last hurdle on its path to government-funded, Fiat-partnered, maybe-kinda-possibly salvation: The banks holding nearly $7 billion in secured debt have agreed to reduce it to $2 billion and also abandoned the prospect of an equity stake in the company.
The New, Improved TBM Community
Since Chadwick Matlin discovered social media platforms are dying, TBM decided to relaunch our Facebook and Twitter pages while we still have the chance.
Think of our Twitter page as your one-stop shop for irreverent business and finance news. Click here to sign up.
A Retreat for the General
Chrysler's negotiations with the UAW, the banks that hold its secured debt, and the federal government have dominated the news these past few days because Chrysler has reached the put-up-or-shut-down point: the drop-dead date to prove viability, partner with Fiat, and qualify for a further $6 billion in government loans is just two days away. Meanwhile, General Motors (GM) is struggling through its own debt negotiations, but the numbers are much larger. Well, sort of.
Facebook’s Twitter Envy
Oh, Facebook, how you've lost your way! A few weeks ago, it publicly declared its obsession with Twitter by redesigning its homepage to spotlight a real-time feed of minutiae a la Twitter. Today comes news that its obsession runs even deeper: Just like Twitter, Facebook will now allow its news feed to be piped off-site. Essentially, this means that you won't have to go to Faceboook.com if you want to look at your news feed.
Could Portfolio Have Survived?
Last fall, I was on panel with a Portfolio writer who made a cutting remark about the vulnerability, in the age of Wall Street's evaporation, of new business publications such as the one you're reading. I challenged him to a bet: I'd wager $100 that TBM would outlast the print version of Portfolio. He declined to take the bet, which tells you just about everything you need to know about the sad, incredibly expensive history of that magazine: Even the people who continued to work there didn't, in recent months, think it could last.
Chrysler’s Mother of All Haircuts
Let's just look at the numbers. Chrysler has three days to submit a viability deal to the administration's auto task force. A partnership with Fiat now looks likely, a triumph for Fiat CEO Sergio Marchionne and his zero-money-down strategy to obtain control of the smallest of the Detroit automakers.
The End of Excitement
With General Motors (GM) CEO Fritz Henderson continuing to endorse a "four brand" strategy for the restructured carmaker, it was only a matter of time before the company officially turned out the lights on Pontiac, which it had taken to calling a "niche" brand. GM doesn't do niche. The wake begins next week.
Goldman Sachs Loves Cars
Goldman Sachs (GS) is bullish, long term, on the North American car business. Coupled with Ford's (F) earnings announcement today, this may represent some light at the end of a fairly long tunnel. But is it really benign light, or the kind of light that sears the eyeballs and leads to blindness?
Chrysler Hits the Wall
The New York Times is reporting today that Chrysler is headed for bankruptcy next week. But before we start to play taps for the Pentastar, it might be worth considering that the players in this drama with the most to lose are Chrysler's creditors. They currently hold $6.9 billion in secured debt and have balked at a government offer to downgrade it (to take a "haircut," in the parlance of the trade).
Fiat Sure Does Get Around
What exactly is Opel, anyway, and why does Fiat suddenly want a piece of it? Americans are accustomed to thinking of German cars as Mercedes, BMWs, and Volkswagens (with a dash of Audi thrown in), but Opel? Whasdat?
Auto's Bankruptcy Triangle
Is this the endgame for two of the Detroit Big Three? GM is about to default on a $1 billion debt payment, a likely precursor to the bankruptcy that everyone seems to want. Chrysler, meanwhile, has a week to cement a deal with Fiat—and that deal is beginning to look precarious. The core problem is the same for both automakers: Their bondholders just won't budge on debt concessions.
Geithner’s Stress Fest
In Tim Geithner's class, it's always exam time. First came the stress tests, a scholastic metaphor for what essentially amounts to a computer simulation. The central question: How prolonged of a recession can the banks survive? Treasury would grade the banks based on their stamina and decide whether they need further capital as a result. As far as complex computational exercises go, this sounded simple enough.
Obama Wants Saturn for Earth
The Big Money's Chadwick Matlin and I were trading e-mails a few days ago about Obama and Saturn. He made an excellent point: Saturn is a very Obama kind of car brand. Or was, anyway. Back when Saturn burst onto the scene—and burst is the correct word, because Saturn really was something different in the U.S.
The New Yorker and the Bloom and Rattner Show
Nissan is a sneaky slick little car company. Often overlooked in discussions about the Japanese auto business in America, due to the much higher sales of Toyota and Honda, it still manages to be part of the story. As it is this week in Peter J. Boyer's lengthy New Yorker analysis of what's gone horribly wrong with the U.S. auto industry (you can read the whole thing here for about $5).
Demystifying Rattner
Just how much trouble is Steven Rattner in?
TiVo Tries To Be the Hero
The television industry is fueled by competition. NBC, ABC, CBS, Fox, the CW, MyTV, cable networks, the list goes on and on. Their raison d'être is to push out a fixed amount of inventory to a fixed amount of people for a fixed amount of time. Thus, rivalries stew and fester. (That so many of the channels are owned by so few companies is a conversation for another time.)
Some Recent Thoughts About Karl Marx
In general, we at TBM are resisting the tremendous temptation to turn our theoretically profit-driven Web site into an organ of Communist propaganda.
And so far, so good.
But the folks at Last Exit magazine asked me for some thoughts about Marx, and I had to oblige. Especially given the bogus Marx floating around out there, you can't be too careful.
Where Was the Domino's CEO?
In all the flurry this week about the online video gross-out about Domino's (DPZ), there's one big question unanswered: Where was the CEO, David Brandon? The company's apology video features a very contrite Patrick Doyle, the company's North American president. As TBM contributor Bernhard Warner asks: Why couldn't Brandon give the statement?
Recent The Sausage Posts
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Chadwick MatlinNovember 20, 2009
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Matthew McKnightNovember 20, 2009
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Caitlin McDevittNovember 20, 2009
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TBM StaffNovember 19, 2009
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Chadwick MatlinNovember 18, 2009
