Today's Business Press

What's in the major publications.

Profit Not Satanic, Says Wealthy Banker

By Paul Smalera
Posted Saturday, November 7, 2009 - 3:22am

The moment everyone expected but no one was waiting for has arrived: Unemployment is in the double-digits. The New York Times says that 10.2 percent is a 26-year high in the 60-year history of government record-keeping. Only 1982, when 10.8 percent of workers were sidelined, was worse. Dampening the bad news, President Obama signed an extension of unemployment benefits for the jobless, allowing them to spend nearly two full years on the dole. The article dives into the metrics but also the psychology of long-term unemployment. It cites one worker who, after a year and a half, continues to drive to his unemployment office, send out job applications, and return home to “his sagging couch and his television, where cheerful news anchors tell him that the economy is looking up.”

But, is unemployment 10.2 percent or 17.5 percent? The latter figure includes underemployment, and that actually beats the high of 17.1 percent set in December of 1982. The discouraged and the part-timers who want to be full-timers are counted in this figure, notes the Times. “Ten percent is a terribly important number,” a democratic pollster noted in the Wall Street Journal’s take on the figures. No word on his thoughts regarding 17.5 percent.

Citigroup (C) is granting its employees options to convince them to stay, the Times writes. Options grants, which the article says have long been criticized as creating perverse incentives, are being presented by the bank as a way for employees to rebuild their nest eggs while remaining with the company. Employee savings were nearly wiped out when Citigroup stock plunged in value during the height of the financial crisis. Despite the long-standing criticisms of options programs, the construction of this one may make sense: It requires three years of vesting, has a strike price slightly above current share pricing, and preserves capital for the bank. As such, one critic of options grants told the paper, “They are trying to reward staff that had the guts to hold onto their stock during this turbulent period for the company.”

Hedge funds are on edge after several high-profile arrests on insider trading charges were made in recent weeks. The Times reports that executives are dropping a dime—to their lawyers—to re-examine their compliance with insider information laws. “Defcon 2” is how one executive described the effort not to run afoul of the rules. Because the executives fear wiretaps, they’re telling staffers to think of phone conversations the way they think of e-mail: as if it could end up on the “front page of The New York Times.” Meanwhile, the Journal says SAC Capital may soon be part of the broader and ongoing insider trading investigations.

AIG (AIG) is profitable again, but executives say the road the company is on won’t necessarily remain smooth. Regulatory filings indicate that its investments are performing well, even as insurance sales are faltering. Looming over future balance sheets is the massive debt the firm must repay to the U.S. government and a $5 billion charge related to its restructuring. A topic AIG didn’t discuss in its filing was employee retention, but the Times notes several executives have jumped ship to work on a competing venture with Hank Greenberg, who was AIG’s CEO for nearly 40 years.

Goldman Sachs (GS) wanted to buy tax credits from Fannie Mae (FNM), which has lost so much money that the credits are useless. The government said no, reports the Journal, because the deal would be a net loss for taxpayers and because it didn’t want to appear to be favoring the pre-eminent investment bank in such savvy deals. Meanwhile the Times says Fannie will soon ask for another $15 billion in bailout funds, on top of the $50 billion it’s already received.


  • Paul Smalera has written for Condé Nast Portfolio, The New York Times and The New York Observer among others. He blogs at true/slant.
submit to reddit

Wall Street Meets "The Wire"

By Bernhard Warner and Matthew Yeomans
Posted Friday, November 6, 2009 - 3:57am

Shady hedge fund honchos, beware. That's the message the business press declares this morning in its coverage of new charges brought down yesterday against 14 money managers, Wall Street lawyers, and other well-connected investors with ties to the Galleon insider-trading probe. The Wall Street Journal describes their alleged criminal dealings as something out of a James Bond movie, "including packages of money, throwaway cellphones, a ringmaster nicknamed 'Octopussy' and an associate called 'the Greek.' " The New York Times adds the racket "was pierced in part through surveillance and wiretaps." The subterfuge enabled the band of conspirators to net a cool $20 million in profits from dodgy "inside" trades, prosecutors say.

The case came to light last month after federal authorities charged hedge fund tycoon Raj Rajaratnam, founder of Galleon Group, and five others with masterminding a vast insider trading racket. And, the NYT reports, more arrests are expected in the coming weeks as a special FBI unit expands its broader probe into the more murky dealings of hedge funds. Where might the wire take investigators next? "For the first time, the authorities hinted that they might be brushing against the pinnacle of the hedge fund world, S.A.C. Capital Management, a $12 billion Connecticut fund company," the NYT writes, adding, "neither S.A.C. nor any current employee has been charged with wrongdoing."

Elsewhere on Wall Street Thursday, there was reason to celebrate. The Dow once again topped the 10,000 mark after its biggest one-day rise since July. "Today's big news was that we saw fewer claims for unemployment benefits," said Mike Stanfield, chief investment officer at VSR Financial Services, told CNNMoney.com. "That suggests that the underlying economics are continuing to improve." Ah, but of course we've been here before. The Dow has been wildly gyrating above and below 10,000 for much of the month. But there is some cause for sustained hope this time. According to the WSJ, the Labor Department reported on Thursday that U.S. worker productivity improved at its most vigorous rate since the Kennedy administration "even as employers pushed forward with layoffs and cuts in working hours across a wide range of industries."

Ever since the government threw billions of dollars at the financial system last year, pols and analysts have been trying to work out where exactly the money went, who really benefited and whether the policy worked. Well, according to the NYT, one side effect was to allow "a handful of giant institutions to save up to $25 billion on their borrowing costs," including General Electric Capital ($1.9 billion in savings) and Goldman Sachs (GS) ($606 million) as well as smaller sums for Citigroup (C), Bank of America (BAC), and Morgan Stanley (MS). The savings were part of the $4.3 trillion safety net and came in the form of "federal guarantees on more than $300 billion of bonds issued by banks and other financial institutions." But before we get too outraged, it turns out the government has turned a profit on this risky business, collecting $9 billion in fees for guaranteeing the bonds.

To the world of Big Oil now and news that, six years after the overthrow of Saddam Hussein, Iraq has agreed a series of new foreign consortium deals to reinvigorate its sleeping giant of an oil industry. On the heels of a big deal earlier in the week with BP (BP) and China National Petroleum Company, Iraq's Oil Ministry has granted the first  drilling concession to a U.S. company in the form of consortium deal led by Exxon Mobil to develop the West Qurna-1 oil field (holding an estimated 8.7 billion barrels of reserves) in the south of the country. Exxon, working with Royal Dutch Shell, offered the highest bid and beat out rival consortiums led by OAO Lukoil, ConocoPhillips (COP), and CNPC.

And finally, how is it that employees of Wall Street's most powerful firms were first on the list to get the precious rations of the swine-flu vaccine? According to the WSJ, "Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Morgan Stanley and Citigroup Inc. are among several large New York City employers that got doses of the H1N1 vaccine," prompting an uproar over how the doses should be distributed to the public. As a result, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is warning regional health officials around the country now to distribute the doses to high-risk groups first. And, no, "high-risk" does not necessarily mean bailed-out financial firms.


  • Bernhard Warner is editorial director of Social Media Influence.
  • Matthew Yeomans runs Custom Communication
submit to reddit

Mickey Mouse’s Makeover

By Caitlin McDevitt
Posted Thursday, November 5, 2009 - 4:17am

Disney’s (DIS) signature cartoon character Mickey Mouse is getting a makeover, says today’s New York Times. Concerned that kids these days aren’t connecting with the character as much as older generations did, the media and entertainment company is planning to update Mickey by making him edgier. The paper explains that  in his new personality, “the formerly squeaky clean character can be cantankerous and cunning, as well as heroic.” The new version of the mouse will make his debut in a video game to be released next year called Epic Mickey. The redesign is a big move and one that the company is making cautiously, the paper explains: “Disney executives are treading carefully, and trying to keep a low profile, as they discuss how much they dare tweak one of the most durable characters in pop culture history to induce new generations of texting, tech-savvy children to embrace him.”

The Wall Street Journal reports that chipmaker Intel (INTC) now faces antitrust charges from the New York attorney general’s office. The suit accuses Intel of using threats and “billions of dollars in kickbacks” to persuade tech companies to use its products. The paper says, “Though the charges are familiar, the latest complaint increases the pressure on Intel, which has already paid a $1.45 billion fine to antitrust authorities in Europe and faces an investigation by the U.S. Federal Trade Commission.” This new complaint also brings to light e-mail correspondences between executives at Intel and other companies, as well as offering up estimates for just how much Intel may have paid to maintain business with its partners.

More than one-quarter of all businesses are owned by women, according to a report from the Center for Women’s Business Research discussed in the New York Times. The center’s report also revealed that a mere 4.2 percent of all revenue generated from U.S. businesses comes from those owned by women, and that only one-fifth of these businesses have employees. So while the seeds of leadership are there, women-owned business development still has a way to go. The paper says, “Armed with the new research, center officials and other women business leaders are approaching the Obama administration, the Small Business Administration and House and Senate small-business committee members to ask for more resources and new programs to support women-owned businesses.”

The Federal Reserve will most likely keep interest rates at near-zero for the next six months, the Financial Times says. While that's nothing new, the paper notes that the Fed has changed its tune ever so slightly, reporting that “[t]he US central bank tweaked guidance in its policy statement that had been unchanged since March, edging away from a simple forecast that it expects to keep rates at 'exceptionally low levels' for an 'extended period'—commonly understood to mean at least six months.” Now, the Fed has spelled out the conditions that could prompt it to raise rates earlier, including “low rates of resource utilisation, subdued inflation trends and stable inflation expectations.”

Automaker Chrysler, still building itself up since its government bailout and hasty partnership with Fiat, has embraced a softer tone, the New York Times reports. At a meeting yesterday, its executives spoke in a “subdued” and “understated” way about the company’s financials and future plans. “Many in the audience remarked on the decided lack of sizzle from an automaker that once sponsored a ‘Lingerie Bowl’ of women playing football in underwear,” the paper says. Sean McAlinden of the Center for Automotive Research told the Times, “They were the ones who mixed the drinks, wore turtlenecks and told all the best jokes. … They let the G.M. and Ford (F) guys wear the gray suits, but I guess things have changed.”

Finally, toys are the new Hollywood A-listers, according to the Wall Street Journal. The paper explains that as toys like Stretch Armstrong and the Transformers steal the spotlight in feature films, they’re increasingly getting treated like star actors in Tinseltown. “Toys now are receiving the same A-list treatment that any bankable movie star here has come to expect,” the article says. “That includes top billing and contracts with special perks. They even have their own talent agents.”


  • Caitlin McDevitt is an editorial assistant at The Big Money.
submit to reddit

Buffett the Betting Man

By Bernhard Warner and Matthew Yeomans
Posted Wednesday, November 4, 2009 - 3:46am

Evidently, Warren Buffett is a betting man. And a big one at that. The Wall Street Journal and the New York Times strike nearly identical headlines this morning in describing Buffett's surprising $26.3 billion acquisition of Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp, both declaring "Buffett bets big" on, of all things, freight trains. The NYT notes the investment seems more 19th century than 21st century, but this is not just the move of a wealthy old man who likes to play with trains. "Mr. Buffett is wagering that as the economy revives, so will the demand for goods to be shipped by train. Burlington Northern carries coal and timber from the West, grain from the Midwest and imports arriving directly from Mexico and Canada, as well as through California ports," the newspaper writes. The move, the WSJ notes, completely transforms Berkshire Hathaway "into a megaoperator of industrial firms, moving the Omaha, Neb., conglomerate further from its roots as a nimble investment outfit." The thinking is that high fuel costs are here to stay and therefore freight trains will be a more efficient way to move goods around the country than trucks.

The world demand for oil, however, has never been so uncertain. According to the WSJ, the world may be on the cusp of shaking off a global recession, but that's not having the expected lift for oil demand. The newspaper writes, citing sources, that "the International Energy Agency next week will make a 'substantial' downward revision to its long-term forecast for global oil demand ... marking the second year running the group has slashed its view of the world's thirst for oil."

General Motors stunned the automotive world yesterday with news that, no, it will not be selling its European division, Opel. "The decision was a blow to the Canadian auto supplier Magna, which was poised to acquire a 55 percent stake in Opel with the backing of the German government and labor unions," the NYT writes. Instead, the new GM board decided it would keep Opel and pour billions into restructuring the unit, which includes British automaker Vauxhall. "GM's change of heart reflects the car maker's increasing confidence about its outlook as well as the direction of its aggressive new chairman, Edward E. Whitacre Jr. The former AT&T Corp. chief, who was picked by the U.S. government for his post, has told GM executives to concentrate on expanding its market, not shrinking it," the WSJ writes. Don't feel so bad for Magna though. In a separate article, the WSJ reports that "being dumped by GM is a blessing." Turning around Opel would be costly and time-consuming for Magna, the newspaper notes. Across town, Chrysler's new turnaround maestro, Sergio Marchionne, the CEO of Fiat, will unveil his plan to restore Chrysler's business later today. How can Marchionne save Chrysler, which has seen U.S. auto sales drop by 40 percent in the past year? With Fiats, writes Business Week. "Marchionne will lay out his plan, which, according to industry insiders, involves plugging Chrysler's product holes with Fiat-engineered cars."

Retail bounced back in October as sales figures show "robust sales growth for the first time in more than a year," the NYT writes. Sales for women's apparel have increased for the first time since August 2008 and across-sector sales in California also appear to be stabilizing. Overall, Thomson Reuters, "which aggregates analysts' estimates for 30 companies, predicts a 2% increase," writes the WSJ. Of course this good news is only relative to how bad things had become during the last 12 months but still, as the NYT writes: "Contrary to predictions made only a few weeks ago, the nation’s stores could be poised for a merrier Christmas this year than last."

China is on a tear with its economy now expected to grow 8.4 percent this year, according to the World Bank’s latest projection, the NYT writes. The Bank raised its forecast for growth in China, "though it cautioned that more policy adjustments would be necessary in the medium term to ensure the country’s recovery would be sustained." But the World Bank also worries that a new Asian economic bubble might be on the rise, notes the WSJ. The sudden injection of billions of dollars in investment capital in the region is "raising concerns about asset price bubbles" in Asian equity markets and in China's, Hong Kong's, Singapore's, and Vietnam's real estate markets, the bank said.

And finally, consider the rotten job the poor human resources manager has these days. Whenever they post a "help wanted" ad, they get inundated with résumés and cover letters, most of them unqualified. CNNMoney.com reports that there are quality job positions that continue to go unfilled despite the highest unemployment rate in generations. The reason? Not enough qualified candidates. CNNMoney.com cites a recent survey by Human Capital Institute and TheLadders. It concluded: "[M]ore than half of employers said 'quality of candidates' or 'availability of candidates' are their greatest challenges—despite the recession."


  • Bernhard Warner is editorial director of Social Media Influence.
  • Matthew Yeomans runs Custom Communication
submit to reddit

Ford Is Back on Track

By Caitlin McDevitt
Posted Tuesday, November 3, 2009 - 5:52am

Ford (F) released a surprisingly good earnings report yesterday and announced its first profitable quarter in North America since 2005. The automaker earned a profit of nearly $1 billion for the third quarter, says the Detroit Free Press. The paper says, “A much smaller Ford Motor Co.—with 45% fewer workers and more than a dozen fewer factories than in 2005—is heading into the last stretch of 2009 with more money, optimism and fuel-efficient passenger cars than it has had for years.” Ford beat analyst expectations thanks to a combination of cost-cutting and improving sales. Still, the paper says, “Ford owes more debt than its domestic competitors,” and it “has a labor agreement with the UAW that the Dearborn automaker says isn't competitive.” The New York Times agrees that the automaker may still hit some rough spots down the road. The paper says the automaker may not be able to maintain its lead over competitors for long, noting, “Both General Motors and Chrysler, with the stigma of their bankruptcies receding, are moving ahead with their own comeback plans.”

The most recent recession left many economists scratching their heads and revising the trusty models they’d been relying on. But the Wall Street Journal leads today with one economist, John Geanakoplos of Yale University, who got it right. According to the article, he watched his “previously obscure theory about collateral's role in the credit bubble gain currency after it burst.” It’s possible that theories like his could be part of a bigger shift in the way economists think about the markets. The past two big swings in mainstream economic theory occurred after the Depression and following high rates of inflation in the 1970s. The paper says, “Now that the financial crisis has exposed flaws in the models central banks use, economists have launched into a flurry of activity that is likely to reshape the field.”

Two tool makers, Stanley Works (SWK), which is known for its hand tools, and Black & Decker (BDK), which is known for its power tools, have finally decided to merge after nearly 30 years of discussing the possibility. The New York Times reports that “Stanley agreed to buy Black & Decker for about $3.5 billion in an all-stock transaction, creating a global tool maker worth about $8.4 billion.” The new business will be called Stanley Black & Decker. The Times sees the deal as yet another glimmer of hope that the recession has indeed subsided. The article says, “Together with a slate of other deals announced in recent days, the Stanley-Black & Decker combination may represent continuing confidence that the worst of the economic problems have passed.”

Despite sinking company share prices, executive pensions swelled last year, says the Wall Street Journal. The paper’s analysis has revealed that in 2008, executive pensions grew 19 percent on average. “The executive-pension growth stemmed partly from generous pension formulas, which are based on executive pay, according to the filings. Also adding to the pension jumps are arcane techniques that have received little scrutiny, including increases triggered when an executive reaches a certain age or when companies change interest rates used to calculate the pensions,” the paper says.

Finally, the Federal Trade Commission is taking action against the company behind the credit monitoring service freecreditreport.com for its misleading commercials, the New York Times reports. The paper says that the FTC believes the company is “deliberately diverting people from a government-mandated site where consumers can get free credit reports by law, and using the reports as a lure for a $14.95 monthly service that alerts subscribers to important changes in their credit status.” The government has, in what the Times calls an “unusual salvo,” created its own commercials mocking the service and prescribing caution. Here’s an excerpted verse: “Other sites may turn your head; they say they’re free; don’t be misled. Once you’re in their tangled web, they’ll sell you something else instead.”


  • Caitlin McDevitt is an editorial assistant at The Big Money.
submit to reddit

Did CIT Kill Christmas?

By Bernhard Warner and Matthew Yeomans
Posted Monday, November 2, 2009 - 4:04am

The most popular day of the week to file for bankruptcy protection, troubled commercial lender CIT (CIT) once again proves, is Sunday. CIT filed for Chapter 11 on Sunday afternoon, doing so with the vast approval—some 90 percent, the Wall Street Journal reports—of its most influential debt holders. This is crucial backing if CIT is to reorganize itself, shed some $10 billion in debt, "and emerge with a new business model by year's end." Year's end may not be soon enough for some retailers. The critical Christmas season is just a few weeks away and CIT's uncertain future is putting even more pressure on small and midsize retailers. "The company provides badly needed credit to thousands of small and mid-sized businesses, and is a critical part of the flow of capital in the retail sector," the Associated Press reports. For example, about 60 percent of the retail industry suppliers rely on CIT credit, according to the AP. Another big loser in the CIT bankruptcy is you, the taxpayer. According to Bloomberg, "the U.S. Treasury Department said it won’t recoup much, if any, of the $2.33 billion of taxpayer money that went into CIT, the largest firm to go bankrupt after getting a federal bailout."

There's some promising news for bailed-out mortgage lender Fannie Mae (FNM), however. The WSJ reports that Goldman Sachs (GS) is in talks to buy millions of dollars of tax credits from the government-controlled lender, but only if it can get approval of the Treasury for the transaction. The Treasury is saying there's no deal "unless it is clearly in the taxpayers' interest."

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner acknowledged on Sunday what you've no doubt been grumbling about for some time: Yes, the federal deficit is a tad high. He also thinks economic recovery is going to be a "little choppy," the Associated Press reports. "Asked repeatedly on 'Meet the Press' on NBC whether that meant taxes would rise, Mr. Geithner avoided providing specifics," the AP writes. Geithner did suggest, though, that those making less than $250,000 are safe. For now. CNNMoney.com notes, Geithner did not declare the recession truly over.

Bank of America (BAC) might be one of the biggest financial institutions in the nation, but running it doesn't appear to be a very attractive proposition, at least not for Bank of New York Mellon CEO Robert Kelly. The WSJ reports that Kelly has been sounded out a couple of times about taking over from outgoing CEO Kenneth Lewis, but the BNY Mellon head has shown no interest in the position. B of A's overtures reflect a growing belief among some shareholders, regulators, and directors that the next CEO should be "someone with no connection to the problems dogging the bank."

Last Friday's opening of China's new Nasdaq-style stock exchange is being heralded as a "watershed moment for the country’s capital markets," the NYT writes. Trading was feverish on the launch day of the Growth Enterprise Market, or GEM, with shares of some companies soaring as much as 210 percent. Up until now, many Chinese tech companies have lacked access to financing. That looks set to change with GEM, though some observers warn that the exchange could quickly fall victim to over speculation. It's like the “V.I.P. table on top of a big casino,” one analyst told the NYT.

And finally, can Newsday columnist Saul Friedman's name become a rallying cry for preserving the status quo of free online news? Friedman quit his writing gig last week "over the paper’s decision to require some readers to pay for access to its Web site," the New York Times reports. And how is Friedman's protest message playing out among the chattering masses? So far, we count, as of press time, just 20 tweets acknowledging his sacrifice for online readers everywhere.


  • Bernhard Warner is editorial director of Social Media Influence.
  • Matthew Yeomans runs Custom Communication
submit to reddit