Bailout Monday Is Back

Bailout Monday Is Back


Posted Monday, November 24, 2008 - 5:10am

Following 'round-the-clock weekend negotiations, the federal government late on Sunday agreed to bail out yet another bank, this time giving the troubled Citigroup a $20 billion lifeline in the form of a direct investment and guaranteeing $306 billion worth of its shaky assets, the Wall Street Journal, New York Times, Financial Times, and others lead off their business coverage today. The latest intervention "marks a new phase in government efforts to stabilize U.S. banks and securities firms," the WSJ writes. "After injecting nearly $300 billion of capital into financial institutions, federal officials now appear to be willing to help shoulder bad assets, on a targeted basis, from specific institutions." The deal calls for the Treasury Department, the Federal Reserve, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. to take on Citi's risky assets, essentially "insuring a slice of Citigroup's balance sheet," the WSJ writes.

According to the NYT, the Citigroup bailout plan could be the new blueprint for rescuing massive, precariously positioned banks. The big price tag, the thinking goes, is pretty small if the rescue plan succeeds in propping up the bank and in containing further fallout in the financial markets. Shares in the troubled banking group have plunged 83 percent this year, though Citigroup was up in early trading in Germany this morning, Bloomberg writes, as traders around the world cheered the news. "It really was a must-do thing," Bloomberg quotes a Sydney-based strategist at AMP Capital Investors as saying.

The WSJ provides a fascinating glimpse of a few tenuous trading days for Morgan Stanley in mid-September, when some vicious rumors triggered "a cascade of bearish bets" that nearly sank the Wall Street giant. Who was behind the bets that Morgan Stanley would fail? Some of the biggest names on Wall Street and some of the very firms that lobbied Washington hard to curb predatory short-selling, including Citigroup, Merrill Lynch, and UBS, the newspaper points out. One bank that plans to brave the markets is Britain's Standard Chartered. The bank confirmed it will proceed with a $3 billion rights issue, the FT reports, "aimed at boosting the emerging markets bank's capital reserves and easing investors' concerns about its ability to weather a severe economic downturn."

Today, President-elect Barack Obama will introduce his firefighting troika of economic chiefs: new Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, White House economic adviser Lawrence Summers, and Congressional Budget Office head Peter Orszag. According to the Washington Post, Summers, who was Treasury secretary in President Bill Clinton's final years, is the best-known of the three and will be taking a more behind-the-scenes role but one that will shape the new administration's economic policy. Geithner and Summers are expected to "make their early marks in directing a wave of government spending to try to stem a slump in economic activity and panic in markets," the WSJ writes. In other words, it's more capital for ailing banks and assuming more bad debt from their books, the newspaper adds. So far, so good. The stock markets rallied on Friday as news of the appointments leaked.

With so much change afoot in Washington, some are already wondering about the future of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, whose term doesn't expire until January 2010. The WSJ speculates that Summers looms as the heir apparent to head the Fed should Obama not reinstate the controversial central bank chief. Bernanke's admission to The New Yorker's John Cassidy that he and others underestimated their ability to contain the subprime crisis could very well prove harmful.

Grounding two corporate jets might not smack of the greatest show of contrition, but many on Wall Street hope that the Big Three automakers' symbolic gesture is well-received in Washington. That's because the "foundering Detroit automakers owe more than $100 billion to their bankers and bondholders, and Wall Street is starting to wonder how much of that will be paid back," the NYT writes. Such is Wall Street's exposure to auto risk that the widely lambasted performance of the GM, Ford, and Chrysler CEOs before Congress last week is now being seen by many as a catalyst for "the sharp sell-off in financial stocks last week, when banking shares fell to their lowest levels since the economic crisis broke out," the paper notes. Of course, the Big Three bosses will be back on Capitol Hill in a few weeks' time, arguing a more fleshed-out rationale for the $25 billion they are seeking. One big idea is to "Get Washington to help them sell more cars" through freeing up credit for new auto loans, writes the WSJ. "The government has to get credit flowing so that the market goes back to at least 14 million to 15 million [vehicles]. ... We can figure out how to survive at that level," one auto exec tells the WSJ.

  • Bernhard Warner is editorial director of Social Media Influence.
  • Matthew Yeomans runs Custom Communication

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williambanzai7

PANDIT THE BAILOUT NUT
(I'm a Nut, Leroy Pullins)
WilliamBanzai7

Sing along link: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YqsauoDmgDo

Beedle-dee-bah, beedle-dee-bah, beedle-dee-ree-pa-dom...

[Chorus]
I'm a nut, I'm a bailout nut
My bank won't ever go bust, whoop-whoop-whoop-whoop
The head on my shoulders is sorta loose
And I ain't got the sense to save a giant CDO goose
Lord, I am crazy, ...I'm Pandit the bailout nut

Are your shares under water, if you're sellin when it rains?
Is it shorter to Bahrain, than it is by a plane?
Between myself and I, I wonder who's the dumber
Is it hotter in Mumbai, than it is in the summer?

[Chorus]

I drove my Cadillac to Wall Street to satisfy my lust
Wheelin', dealin', left ol' Wall Street on a Greyhound bus
I shouldn't have allowed all my bankers to get fired while I was there
But remember only forest fires prevent Bears

[Chorus]

The subprime crash will be over, when I begin to fight
If it took a dime to go 'round the world
I'd be on the next flight
I don't mind to take the FEDs out
If they don't mind to go Dutch
Makes me feel like a Billion bailout dollars
And I bet CITI ain't worth half that much

[Chorus]

Oh, crazy man! I'm a Nut!
Oh, Lordy, Lordy Lordy, Lordy
I'm crazy, I'm Pandit the Bailout Nut!

Summers and Autos

Matthew/Bernhard:

It is unfortunate Obama holds one of the perpetuators of the current Derivatives crisis in such high regard. In 1998/98, Lawrence went to Congress to lend criticism to Brooksley Born's (as the head of the CFTC) attempts to bring transparency to the Derivative Market. Instead we received a 6 month moratorium on any regulation of the market and Gramm's infamous Commodities Futures Act which prevented any regulation of Derivatives by either the SEC or the CFTC. Unless there is a plan afoot to repeal this act, I don't see much happening to rein in control of it. As far as Summers for Fed Chairman, certainly there must be better out there rather than this Greenspan waterboy.

In the scheme of things, lambasting automotive is certainly something that the classes understand. After all, all of those $75/hour workers brought this on themselves. And those private jets being brought out and flown. Ok, so the executives need a haircut; but let’s get real here. Did automotive with its 3-4% of GDP cause today's crisis or did Wall Street? If Detroit has issues, who stands to gain? And what steps towards a transition have already been put into play for the measly gruel they wish to borrow in comparison to AIG's $140 billion?

Its called keeping your eye on the ball as Wall Street, Banking, and Financial Institutions keep sinking to new lows. Automotive is a side show meant to take you eye off of the Wall Street crisis as we pour hundreds of billions into that sink hole in attempts to prevent a further worsening of the situation. In any case, a failure of the big three has the same ramifications as a failure of a Citibank and it strikes closer to home. Millions of workers thrown out on to the street and into unemployment on top of an already under-determined U3 coupled with a lower Participation Rate. And the grinning southern senators who stand to gain at Detroit’s demise with additional foreign plants going in, the same as the Kia facilities in Westport are making the most of the opportunity.

Thousands of union and salaried workers on permanent layoff, retiree benefits transferred to the union by 2010 at 60 cents on the dollar, new union wage structure at $18/hour for workers in 2010, Olds and Plymouth discontinued plus car models with more to come, plants and facilities shut down nation wide etc. certainly sounds like a plan to me being brought about by the 14 million car capacity in an 18 million car capacity market as recent as 2005. The downsizing will continue until they are finally on bedrock and have reduced fixed and variable costs to match today’s market. And the newer efficient models are on the brink.

Who stands too lose? All of the constituency whipped up into a frenzy by Congressional representatives who are running this Roman holiday in the arenas, most of whom nixed higher energy standards for cars in the US. A great way to hide Wall Street issues.

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