Russia Cuts Off the Gas

Russia Cuts Off the Gas


By James Ledbetter
Posted Friday, January 2, 2009 - 5:45am

The Wall Street Journal leads this morning with news that Russia has cut off the supply of natural gas to Ukraine, reflecting what the paper calls "a jolting reminder of a 2006 cutoff that spread fear in Europe about Moscow's tightening grip on energy supplies." The dispute between Ukraine and Russian gas monopoly OAO Gazprom has been brewing for some time, with Russia trying to exact a higher price and demanding payment for previous shipments that Ukraine insists it has already made.

The Financial Times highlights the international jitters around the situation, including a White House statement issued Thursday "urging both sides to keep in mind the humanitarian implications of any interruption of gas supply in the winter." Since 80 percent of the gas that Western Europe gets from Russia flows through Ukraine, there are fears that supplies could be disrupted elsewhere as in 2006, though the Journal downplays this scenario, noting that "partly because of declining industrial use, both Ukraine and the EU have built up their gas storage, meaning that any immediate disruption to the EU's supplies appears unlikely." The Journal also includes the telling tidbit that this time around Russia wants to get the upper hand in terms of publicity; Gazprom "has retained an American public-relations agency, Ketchum; it is running a dedicated Web site to explain its position; and is holding frequent news conferences."

Even so, the underlying causes of the dispute are unlikely to disappear soon. The New York Times plays up the fact that this time Russia really needs the money. "Plagued by the sharp fall in oil prices, Russia has been scrambling to make up the revenue shortfall as prices have slipped below $40 a barrel. Gazprom, too, is heavily in debt and sinking along with the energy market," the paper reports.

The NYT also features two stories today that spotlight the interdependence of government and business. Louis Uchitelle sums up the state of the steel industry, which just a few years ago was widely touted as enjoying a renaissance, reshaped by tycoons like Wilbur Ross and Lakshmi Mittal. Today, U.S. Steel and other giants are laying off workers, facing declining costs and a slump in demand. Much of 2008 was going pretty well for steel, but as Uchitelle notes, "The steel industry's collapse closely tracks the alarming late-autumn swoon in the national economy." Now steel—like so many others—awaits an Obama administration infrastructure infusion that will create demand for its product. By contrast, it's harder to see a quick fix for the milk industry, which saw a similar drop in prices as the overall economy stalled.

So far, 2009 has seen no slowdown in the burgeoning field of Bernie Madoff news. Relying on the ever-useful "person familiar with the situation," the Journal seems to slightly advance the story that the NYT pursued earlier this week, namely, that investigators are now focused on Madoff's potential use of offshore accounts to further his apparently massive fraud. "[I]nvestigators believe Mr. Madoff had at least one and possibly multiple accounts located in offshore tax havens or locales with robust privacy laws, according to a person familiar with the situation. Such accounts may have been used to hide ill-gotten gains, this person said," the WSJ says. Meanwhile, the Times serves up a menu of juicy personal details about Rene-Thierry Magon de la Villehuchet, the French aristocrat and longtime Madoff associate who committed suicide in Manhattan a few days before Christmas.

Finally, the LA Times appears to be on to a hot story, though it's hard to tell from the details that it has published to date. The paper is reporting that the U.S. Treasury Department's inspector general is asking for a review of the $400 million in bailout money that has gone to City National Bank, Beverly Hills' "bank to the stars." The paper is quick to point out that this is not based on any allegation of wrongdoing by the bank, but rather that "investigators see the review as a case study into how the Treasury Department is implementing" the bailout program. Right, because of the 209 banks that have received federal bailout money, the most typical is the one with almost a fifth of its commercial loans going to the entertainment industry? There is something peculiar here, and we suspect Monday will bring further developments.

  • James Ledbetter is editor of The Big Money, and of The Great Depression: A Diary, published this month by Public Affairs.

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Ukrainian gas blockage

Mrs. Timoshenko has just bargained a 20% discount to what all other European countries pay for gas. The lady has scored her foremost and primary goal in the gas crisis as now there is no need to guess who will become the next Ukrainian president. For this lady the crisis was nothing other than the beginning of her election campaign for future presidency. Nevertheless, Ukraine’s liability to pay remains highly questionable. No political or economical mechanism has been contrived should the Ukraine wield its ‘privilege” to block gas supplies in the future. Given its distressing financial situation engraved by the world financial crisis, the next blockage crisis is just around the corner. Regretfully, the EU had nothing to say in the matter and will remain hostage to extremely deplorable and unmanageable consequences. Bearing in mind the way Mrs. Timoshenko handles things, she will not be a remedy to Europe’s energy problems. Consequently, I see the gleam in the eyes of US policy makers. Mrs. Timoshenko as next president will keep her hands tight on the throats of Europe and Russia making the reliability of Russia gas supplies to Europe vulnerable, and dependable on the upshots of the political situation in the Ukraine, which is far from being stable.

valentine akishkin

Valentine Akishkin Russian entrepreneur TIME TO AWAKE FROM TRANSATLANTIC ILLUSIONS Bolstered by the Bush administration the EU has been rigorously digging itself into series of ungovernable brisances. Two coloured revolutions in Georgia and the Ukraine sponsored and adorned by transatlantic unity have brought nothing but confusion. Bush’s spate to expand NATO by including these two subversive handcrafted “democracies” was premeditated as an instrument to vie “resurgent” Russia; the whole evasion being enshrouded behind a veil of “honorable” purposes. Not the least pertinacity was paid to either diagnose the consequences of hastily ushering these machinated political appendages into power or determine why the cheerleaders of these “democracies” so insistently sought entrance to NATO. In the first case the EU’s unscrupulous and unresisting demeanor, consecrated by US doggedness was humbly assumed by Saakashvili to be a blessing for his bloody swashbuckling assault of South Ossetia. At the same time, the EU bestowed itself the role of an innocent, sinless bystander, whereas EU stolidity and disregard multiplied by US pandering was the fuse that instigated Saakashvili’s intervention of South Ossetia. Today, Europe is facing its next self-pollinated Gordian knot based on the same quaint transatlantic doctrine, “Russia can never be right”. The present day “orange” political elite in the Ukraine; a regime that the Transatlantic Unity has so lovingly fostered has emerged with an “orange” interpretation of resolving financial problems. Apart from siphoning or bluntly saying sealing Russian gas, transatlantic fostering has brought Yushenko and his associates to the belief, similar to the case of Saakashvili, that there is no limit to unheeding maleficence as long as it implies harm on Russia. Blocking Russia gas supplies, crucial to Europe, found pardon in the “transatlantic agenda”, although it is only fair to say that the negative impact affected mainly on east European countries, some of which are not EU members, and others have little say in European affairs. Ukraine’s blocking gas supplies to Europe is only a consequence of today’s toothless European policy following up “transatlantic fraternity” stipulating that support to any regime be offered as long as it opposes Russia. What better way would there be to contend Russia other than surrounding it with a military block or by showing how vulnerable its gas supplies were. The US plan of finding an alternative route for gas to Europe is scoring points supported by the Ukraine’s disrupting gas supplies to Europe. Immediate Ukrainian interests fall in unison to US long term aspirations and explain how Yushenko with a popularity rating of 2 % dares to harass both Russia and the EU. Transatlantic patronizing of “colour” revolutions, the expansion of NATO or the installation of US anti rocket systems in Europe will not disgruntle “resurgent” Russia as it will at length backfire on Europe itself. Georgia has lost all hope of finding a way to integrate South Ossetia and Abkhazia and the Ukraine has become a territory of unpredictable political upheaval. The EU must understand that the time has come to put serious doubt on the Cold War reflexes that constitute today’s transatlantic agenda.

Russia cuts off Ukraine gas

It is not too surprising that Putin is once again using his bully boy tactics. If he cuts off the Ukraine can Europe be next?

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